Week 12 NFL Picks

**All betting lines from bet365.com** (Updated Nov. 23)

Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) @ Cleveland Browns (2-8)

A snowy game in November involving two AFC North rivals, sounds like a classic football game to me. The Browns have virtually nothing to play for, save for division bragging rights, and the Steelers will look to strengthen their lead atop the division in what should be a defensive struggle throughout. Myles Garrett could get loose and mess with Russell Wilson's timing, but I think the Steelers will take over in the second half. Pick: Steelers, 21-13.

Line: Steeler -3.5

ML: Steelers

Spread: Steelers

Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) @ Carolina Panthers (3-7)

The Chiefs had their undefeated season spoiled by the Bills last week and will be looking to take out their frustrations on the Panthers. I don't think Andy Reid cared too much about the perfect year, but let's pretend he did. I would suspect this Chiefs defense plays with a chip on its shoulder this week and gets after Bryce Young. Pick: Chiefs, 27-14.

Line: Chiefs -11

ML: Chiefs

Spread: Chiefs

Minnesota Vikings (8-2) @ Chicago Bears (4-6)

The Bears are desperate for a win after their game-winning field goal was blocked last week. The offense certainly played better with Caleb Williams and needs to build on that momentum in another divisional tilt with the Vikings coming up. If this defense can pressure Sam Darnold enough into a few mistakes, they have a fighting chance. Pick: Bears, 19-16.

Line: Vikings -3.5

ML: Bears

Spread: Bears

Tennessee Titans (2-8) @ Houston Texans (7-4)

The Texans found new life with the return of Nico Collins last week and with him back in the lineup, it opens the entire offense up, specifically for Joe Mixon. Despite their 2-8 record, the Titans' defense has proven to be pesky -- the top-ranked defense against the pass and 12th-best against the rush -- and should challenge this Texans offense. Pick: Texans, 23-15.

Line: Texans -7.5

ML: Texans

Spread: Texans

Detroit Lions (9-1) @ Indianapolis Colts (5-6)

I think the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through the Lions. Dan Campbell's team is as complete as they come, playing sound football on both sides of the ball. This could be a tough test on the road for them, but he will have them ready. Pick: Lions, 27-20.

Line: Lions -7.5

ML: Lions

Spread: Colts

New England Patriots (3-8) @ Miami Dolphins (4-6)

The Dolphins have a chance to get back in the playoff race with a win this Sunday. I've been surprised by the Pats of late, their defense has played tough under Jerrod Mayo and Drake Maye has shown some real resilience in the pocket. I'm going to fade the points here on the home side and the Pats should keep this close. Pick: Dolphins, 21-16.

Line: Dolphins -7

ML: Dolphins

Spread: Patriots

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) @ New York Giants (2-8)

Mike Evans appears set to make his return from a hamstring injury and the timing couldn't be better for a Bucs team looking to stay in the wildcard hunt. Evans has hit the 1,000-yard mark in every season of his career, with seven weeks remaining he will need to average 100 yards in each of the remaining games to keep the streak alive. Pick: Buccaneers, 22-15.

Line: Buccaneers -6

ML: Buccaneers

Spread: Buccaneers

Dallas Cowboys (3-7) @ Washington Commanders (7-4)

The Cowboys might be embracing the tank as Trevon Diggs and Zack Martin are not making the trip to Washington, plus Markquese Bell was placed on the IR this week. This game could get ugly quickly, and the Cowboys' inability to contain the run will be a problem against this Commanders squad. Pick: Commanders, 30-13.

Line: Commanders -10.5

ML: Commanders

Spread: Commanders

Denver Broncos (6-5) @ Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)

I've said this before that Bo Nix is the real deal and he's really impressed me in his rookie season. He seems to have the poise of a veteran player, not getting rattled by too much and after a blowout to the Ravens two weeks ago, he bounced back for a big win last week. Look for the Broncos to keep rolling as they push for a playoff spot down the stretch. Pick: Broncos, 20-12.

Line: Broncos -5.5

ML: Broncos

Spread: Broncos

San Francisco 49ers (5-5) @ Green Bay Packers (7-3)

The Niners are short-handed for this game as Brock Purdy suffered a shoulder injury late in the practice week that will keep him out. The rest of the team will need to step up in his absence and Purdy has played well in recent weeks to keep this team afloat in the NFC playoff race. Jordan Love is getting healthier each week and I think this is going to be a tough task for the Niners. Pick: Packers, 23-13.

Line: Packers -5.5

ML: Packers

Spread: Packers

Arizona Cardinals (6-4) @ Seattle Seahawks (5-5)

I'm a bit puzzled by this line with the Seahawks being at home this week and that might fall into the category of "what does Vegas know"? In any case, the Cardinals have been a bit of a Cinderella story this year and come out the other side of some close games where I thought they wouldn't. I'm going with the Seahawks here in front of a raucous 12th man crowd and this game will have an old fashioned ground and pound style to it. Pick: Seahawks, 23-20.

Line: Cardinals -1

ML: Seahawks

Spread: Seahawks

Philadelphia Eagles (8-2) @ Los Angeles Rams (5-5)

This is a big Sunday night clash, more so for the Rams, as the NFC West has really tightened up. The offense is getting healthy at the right time, and Sean McVay's team is going to be playing desperate football down the stretch. I mentioned earlier that the road to the Super Bowl out of the NFC runs through the Lions, but I think this Eagles team has found their groove in recent weeks. Pick: Eagles, 27-20.

Line: Eagles -3

ML: Eagles

Spread: Eagles

Baltimore Ravens (7-4) @ Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)

This is the third time the Harbaugh brothers will meet as coaches in the NFL and John has got the better of Jim in the previous two meetings, including a Super Bowl victory. The Chargers have been a surprise this year and Justin Herbert is playing sound football right now. He will have to be at his best with Lamar playing at a high level this season. Pick: Ravens, 24-20.

Line: Ravens -2.5

ML: Ravens

Spread: Ravens

Results

Week 11

ML: 9-5

ATS: 8-6

Overall

ML: 108-58

ATS: 85-78-3